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DTN Midday Grain Comments 11/21 10:59
Corn Futures Flat-Lower at Midday Friday; Soybeans, Wheat Flat-Higher
Corn futures are flat to 1 cent lower at midday Friday; soybean futures are
flat to 1 cent higher; wheat futures are flat to 5 cents higher.
David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst
MARKET SUMMARY:
Corn futures are flat to 1 cent lower at midday Friday; soybean futures are
flat to 1 cent higher; wheat futures are flat to 5 cents higher. The U.S. stock
market is firmer at midday with the S&P 45 points higher. The U.S. Dollar Index
is 15 points higher. The interest rate products are firmer. Energy trade is
mixed with crude 1.30 lower and natural gas is .11 higher. Livestock trade has
cattle and hogs lower. Precious metals are mixed with gold up 11.00.
CORN:
Corn futures are flat to 1 cent lower in quiet midday trade as we test the
lower end of the recent range with little fresh bullish news ahead of option
expiration today. Ethanol margins should get some support from corn fading with
blender margins struggling as unleaded goes lower again. Export wise we saw
nothing on the daily wire today. Basis should continue to stabilize and firm in
most areas with the well-above-normal fall shipment and usage pace. On the
December chart, resistance is the 20-day moving average at $4.32, which we
closed just below, with the lower Bollinger Band at $4.24 as the next level of
support.
SOYBEANS:
Soybean futures are flat to 1 cent higher with trade fading to the first
level of nearby support before firming back a little toward midday. Meal is
flat to 1.00 higher and oil is 35 to 45 points lower. South American weather
continues to keep overall concerns limited with some dry pockets in Brazil
which look to expand a little in the short-term but excessive heat remains
limited. Basis gains will likely slow as crush gains fade and export shipments
need to catch up further. The daily export wire was quiet after the midweek
China sales confirmations. On the January chart, resistance is the $11.69 1/2
area where we find the fresh high from earlier in the week with the 20-day
moving average tested at midday at $11.22.
WHEAT:
Wheat futures are flat to 5 cents higher as it works to consolidate at the
lower end of the range with negative outside market spillover easing with the
firmer dollar likely to limit upside. Weather should remain mostly favorable
for the Plains in the short-term with cooler weather expected into the end of
the month to push us toward dormancy. MATIF wheat is mixed this morning. On the
KC December chart, resistance is the 20-day moving average at $5.22, which we
closed just below, with the support at the lower Bollinger Band at $5.06, which
we tested overnight.
David Fiala can be reached at dfiala@futuresone.com
Follow him on social platform X @davidfiala
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