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DTN Midday Livestock Comments 05/01 11:37
Cattle Continue to Trend Higher Through Friday's Trade
No new cash cattle trade has surfaced, and it's looking like the bulk of
this week's trade is done with.
ShayLe Stewart
DTN Livestock Analyst
GENERAL COMMENTS:
The livestock complex is again trading mixed into midday Friday as the
cattle contracts have found plenty of support. However, the lean hog complex
remains in the other boat as traders simply aren't comfortable with the market
at this time. No new cash cattle trade has developed, and it's looking like the
bulk of this week's trade is done with. July corn is up 5 cents per bushel and
July soybean meal is down $0.60. The Dow Jones Industrial Average is up 5.46
points and the NASDAQ is up 280.43 points.
LIVE CATTLE:
Although it looks like the vast majority of this week's trade in the fed
cash cattle market is complete, traders are allowing the contracts to trade
slightly higher and maintain a sideways chop in the upper echelon of its new
trading range. June live cattle are up $0.85 at $254.85, August live cattle are
up $1.45 at $250.10 and October live cattle are up $1.57 at $245.05. So far
this week, trade has had a fairly wide range, with Northern dressed trade done
at $392 to $405, mostly $400, $14 higher than the previous week's weighted
averages. Southern live deals have had a range of $250 to mostly $255 to $256,
$9 to $10 higher than the prior week's weighted averages.
Boxed beef prices are lower: choice down $0.24 ($389.28) and select down
$1.65 ($386.52) with a movement of 33 loads (23.42 loads of choice, 2.57 loads
of select, zero loads of trim and 6.50 loads of ground beef).
FEEDER CATTLE:
The feeder cattle contracts are also trading higher as traders are thankful
to see the live cattle contracts trading higher, which is enough support this
morning to justify turning the feeder cattle contracts higher. May feeders are
up $2.22 at $374.87, August feeders are up $2.45 at $375.90 and September
feeders are up $2.50 at $374.25. So long as adequate support continues to
funnel into the feeder cattle complex from the live cattle market, the market
should be able to maintain its upward trend through the afternoon's close.
LEAN HOGS:
Meanwhile, the lean hog complex is trading lower as traders can't seem to
find the support and stability they need. Yes, midday pork cutout values are
higher, but traders could have used that support earlier in the week if it were
going to amount to something sizeable and genuinely supportive. June lean hogs
are down $1.00 at $101.27, July lean hogs are down $1.65 at $103.40 and August
lean hogs are down $1.52 at $103.92.
The projected lean hog index is delayed from the source. Hog prices are
lower on the Daily Direct Morning Hog Report, down $0.92 with a weighted
average price of $92.51, ranging from $90.00 to $94.00 on 850 head and a
five-day rolling average of $92.26. Pork cutouts total 194.91 loads with 171.11
loads of pork cuts and 23.80 loads of trim. Pork cutout values: up $3.49,
$100.25.
ShayLe Stewart can be reached shayle.stewart@dtn.com
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